Disease Simulation Portal
African Swine Fever (ASF)
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Analytical foundations supporting the CSF pen-level transmission model.

Simulation Methodology

How the browser-based CSF pen-level dashboard computes trajectories and indicators.

  1. Read and validate CSF pen-wise population and epidemiological parameters.
  2. Initialize compartmental states (S, E, I, Q, R) for each pen.
  3. Iterate the CSF ODE system using forward Euler discretization.
  4. Compute force of infection via contact, personnel movement, and feed routes.
  5. Derive indicators: R₀, peak infection, outbreak duration.
  6. Render epidemic curves and export results.