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Forewarning of Livestock Diseases July-2022

ANDHRA PRADESH,JHARKHAND,KARNATAKA,TAMIL NADU AND WEST BENGAL are predicted for likely occurrence of Anthrax in September-2022

ASSAM,GOA,JHARKHAND,KERALA,MEGHALAYA,TRIPURA,WEST BENGAL AND PUDUCHERRY are predicted for likely occurrence of Babesiosis in September-2022

ASSAM,JHARKHAND,KARNATAKA,MEGHALAYA,ODISHA,TAMIL NADU AND WEST BENGAL are predicted for likely occurrence of Black quarter in September-2022

ANDHRA PRADESHA AND TAMIL NADU are predicted for likely occurrence of Bluetongue in September-2022

ANDHRA PRADESH,ASSAM,JHARKHAND,KARNATAKA AND MAHARASHTRA are predicted for likely occurrence of Enterotoxaemia in September-2022

ARUNACHAL PRADESH,ASSAM,JHARKHAND,MANIPUR,TRIPURA,UTTAR PRADESH AND PUDUCHERRY are predicted for likely occurrence of Fascioliasis in September-2022

BIHAR,JHARKHAND,KARNATAKA,KERALA,MADHYA PRADESH,MAHARASHTRA,MANIPUR,MEGHALAYA,ODISHA,TAMIL NADU,UTTARAKHAND,WEST BENGAL AND CHANDIGARH are predicted for likely occurrence of Foot and mouth disease in September-2022

GUJARAT,HARYANA,JHARKHAND,KARNATAKA,KERALA,MADHYA PRADESH,MAHARASHTRA,RAJASTHAN,TAMIL NADU AND ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS are predicted for likely occurrence of Haemorrhagic septicaemia in September-2022

ASSAM,JHARKHAND,KARNATAKA,MADHYA PRADESH,MAHARASHTRA,ODISHA AND WEST BENGAL are predicted for likely occurrence of PPR in September-2022

ANDHRA PRADESH,ASSAM,MEGHALAYA, AND WEST BENGAL are predicted for likely occurrence of S & G Pox in September-2022

ASSAM,JHARKHAND,MANIPUR,MEGHALAYA,NAGALAND,TRIPURA,UTTAR PRADESH,WEST BENGAL AND PUDUCHERRY for likely occurrence of Swine fever in September-2022

JHARKHAND,KERALA AND WEST BENGAL for likely occurrence of Theileriosis in September-2022

GUJARAT,JHARKHAND,MADHYA PRADESH,ODISHA,UTTAR PRADESH AND PUDUCHERRY are predicted for likely occurrence of Trypanosomiasis in September-2022

OB Prediction September-2022

Anthrax - 35, with Accuracy of 99.53%

Babesiosis - 53, with Accuracy of 97.22%

Black quarter - 40, with Accuracy of 95.67%

Bluetoungue- 1, with Accuracy of 98.14

Enterotoxaemia- 25, with Accuracy of 99.53

Fasciolosis - 54, with Accuracy of 98.76%

FMD - 101, with Accuracy of 94.90%

HS - 55, with Accuracy of 94.90%

PPR - 53, with Accuracy of 97.06%

S&G Pox - 24, with Accuracy of 99.84%

Swine Fever - 53, with Accuracy of 96.91%

Theileriosis - 49, with Accuracy of 99.22%

Trypanosomiasis - 48, with Accuracy of 95.67%

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Covid-19 Epidemiological Analysis in India

    Coronavirus disease (COVID-19,) a novel coronavirus originated from Wuhan, a city in the Hubei Province of China at the end of 2019, has further progressed rapidly to become a global epidemic. In February 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) designated the disease as COVID-19 and declared it as a global pandemic, as the disease has spread to nearly all the continents and the cases are rising at an exponential rate.A confirmed case of COVID-19 infection is defined as those with a positive result for viral infection and history of acute respiratory illness for the collected specimens. A suspected case is defined as a patient with symptoms of COVID-19 infection, but not confirmed by viral nucleic acid testing. An actual estimate of the serial interval was considered by estimating the time from onset of illness in a primary case (infector) to illness onset in a secondary case (infected) in a transmission chain. Serial interval can only be estimated by linking dates of onset for infector-infected data pairs, and these links are difficult to be established. R0 is defined as the actual expected number of secondary cases that one primary case will generate in a susceptible population


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