Forewarning of Livestock Diseases December-2024
Risk Prediction February-2025
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Risk Maps
The basic reproduction number (R0) is the number of cases directly caused by an infected individual throughout its infectious period and is an indicator of the infectiousness or transmissibility of infectious pathogen. R0 is used to determine the ability of a disease to spread within a given population and has been described as being one of the fundamental and most often used metrics for study of infectious disease dynamics.
Geographical maps indicating the value of basic reproduction number(R0), can be used to identify the areas of higher risk of probability for major outbreak/incidence of livestock in India. This is a first step towards an integrative method to predict the risk of establishment of disease based on mathematical modelling combined with a geographic information system that may comprise climate variables including satellite data, landscape, host parameters and other relevant factors determining risk of establishment for livestock diseases. Geographical maps indicating the value of basic reproduction number(R0), can be used to identify the areas of higher risk of probability for major outbreak/Incidence. This is a first step towards an integrative method to predict the risk of establishment of disease based on mathematical modelling combined with a geographic information system that may comprise climate variables including satellite data, landscape, host parameters and other relevant factors determining risk of establishment for livestock diseases.