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Forewarning of Livestock Diseases July-2021

ANDHRA PRADESH,JHARKHAND,KARNATAKA,TAMIL NADU,WEST BENGAL are predicted for likely occurrence of Babesiosis in September--2021

BIHAR,JHARKHAND,MANIPUR,TRIPURA,WEST BENGAL,PUDUCHERRY are predicted for likely occurrence of Babesiosis in September--2021

ASSAM,JHARKHAND,KARNATAKA,MAHARASHTRA,MEGHALAYA,ODISHA,WEST BENGAL are predicted for likely occurrence of Black quarter in September--2021

ANDHRA PRADESH,JHARKHAND,KARNATAKA,MAHARASHTRA are predicted for likely occurrence of Enterotoxaemia in September--2021

ARUNACHAL PRADESH,ASSAM,GUJARAT,JHARKHAND,MANIPUR,TRIPURA,UTTAR PRADESH,ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS,PUDUCHERRY are predicted for likely occurrence of Fascioliasis in September--2021

ARUNACHAL PRADESH,HARYANA,JHARKHAND,KARNATAKA,KERALA,MADHYA PRADESH,MANIPUR,MEGHALAYA,NAGALAND,ODISHA,TAMIL NADU,WEST BENGAL are predicted for likely occurrence of Foot and mouth disease in September--2021

ASSAM,HARYANA,JHARKHAND,KARNATAKA,KERALA,MADHYA PRADESH,MAHARASHTRA,MEGHALAYA,RAJASTHAN,TAMIL NADU,UTTARAKHAND,WEST BENGAL are predicted for likely occurrence of Haemorrhagic septicaemia in September--2021

GUJARAT,JHARKHAND,KARNATAKA,MAHARASHTRA,ODISHA,WEST BENGAL are predicted for likely occurrence of PPR in September--2021

ANDHRA,PRADESH,ASSAM,KARNATAKA,MEGHALAYA,ODISHA,WEST BENGAL are predicted for likely occurrence of S & G Pox in September--2021

ASSAM,JHARKHAND,KERALA,MANIPUR,MEGHALAYA,NAGALAND,PUNJAB,TRIPURA,UTTAR PRADESH are predicted for likely occurrence of Swine fever in September--2021

AJHARKHAND,WEST BENGAL are predicted for likely occurrence of Theileriosis in September--2021

GUJARAT,JHARKHAND,MADHYA PRADESH,RAJASTHAN,UTTAR PRADESH,PUDUCHERRY are predicted for likely occurrence of Trypanosomiasis in September--2021

OB Prediction August-2021

Anthrax - 35, with Accuracy of 99.69%

Babesiosis - 39, with Accuracy of 100.00%

Black quarter - 48, with Accuracy of 97.53%

Enterotoxaemia- 19, with Accuracy of 98.15%

Fasciolosis - 56, with Accuracy of 99.85%

FMD - 90, with Accuracy of 99.07%

HS - 68, with Accuracy of 95.52%

PPR - 57, with Accuracy of 95.06%

S&G Pox - 24, with Accuracy of 97.84%

Swine Fever - 37, with Accuracy of 99.85%

Theileriosis - 41, with Accuracy of 99.69%

Trypanosomiasis -56, with Accuracy of 97.38%

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Sampling plan for strengthening livestock disease surveillance

   The early detection of disease epidemics reduces the chances of introduction in to new locales, minimizes the number of infections, and reduces the financial impact. The effectiveness of disease control measures often depends on early detection of disease incidence or outbreak and significantly reduces the cost associated with disease eradication and devastation of livestock. Passive surveillance methods are the voluntary reporting of cases by primary care providers and farmers to veterinary health system where as Active surveillance of livestock diseases are periodic sampling by veterinary health officials. Active surveillance methods are often performing better for targeted objectives than passive methods and useful in making active surveillance methods more cost effective, an important consideration for surveillance system with limited resources. Developing an optimal sampling strategy for surveillance of livestock diseases is an important for an early detection of disease incidence and it offers the effectiveness of utilisation of limited resources in the surveillance in addition to offering random, representative and independence of sampling units in order to derive the scientifically valid results.


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