National Animal Disease Referral Expert System (NADRES v2)

AI-Enabled Redefining Livestock Disease Risk Forewarning

Forewarning of Livestock Diseases September-2025

ANDHRA PRADESH,KARNATAKA,TAMIL NADU AND GUJARAT for likely occurrence of Anthrax in September-2025

KERALA,ASSAM,PUDUCHERRY,UTTAR PRADESH,JHARKHAND,GUJARAT AND KARNATAKA are predicted for likely occurrence of Babesiosis in September-2025

ASSAM,MEGHALAYA,UTTAR PRADESH,JHARKHAND,ANDHRA PRADESH,KARNATAKA AND TRIPURA are predicted for likely occurrence of Black quarter in September-2025

KARNATAKA,TAMIL NADU AND GOA are predicted for likely occurrence of Bluetongue in September-2025

JAMMU & KASHMIR,KERALA,ASSAM,NAGALAND,SIKKIM,BIHAR,UTTARAKHAND,HARYANA,JHARKHAND,MADHYA PRADESH,ODISHA,WEST BENGAL,UTTAR PRADESH AND MIZORAM are predicted for likely occurrence of Classical Swine Fever in September-2025

GUJARAT,ASSAM,WEST BENGAL,UTTAR PRADESH,JHARKHAND,MAHARASHTRA AND KARNATAKA are predicted for likely occurrence of Enterotoxaemia in September-2025

ANDHRA PRADESH,ODISHA,KERALA,RAJASTHAN,ANDAMAN & NICOBAR,MANIPUR,TRIPURA,WEST BENGAL,UTTAR PRADESH,JHARKHAND AND GUJARAT are predicted for likely occurrence of Fascioliasis in September-2025

KARNATAKA,KERALA,WEST BENGAL,HIMACHAL PRADESH,UTTARAKHAND,TAMIL NADU,ODISHA,MAHARASHTRA,MANIPUR,UTTAR PRADESH,JHARKHAND,MADHYA PRADESH AND GUJARAT are predicted for likely occurrence of Foot and Mouth Disease in September-2025

PUNJAB,KARNATAKA,ASSAM,UTTAR PRADESH,HARYANA,MADHYA PRADESH,WEST BENGAL,ODISHA AND CHANDIGARH are predicted for likely occurrence of Haemorrhagic septicaemia in September-2025

UTTAR PRADESH,MADHYA PRADESH,UTTARAKHAND,KARNATAKA,ANDHRA PRADESH,ODISHA,GUJARAT,RAJASTHAN,ASSAM,TRIPURA,WEST BENGAL,PUNJAB,JHARKHAND,PUDUCHERRY AND DAMAN & DIU are predicted for likely occurrence of PPR in September-2025

KARNATAKA,KERALA,MAHARASHTRA,RAJASTHAN,ASSAM,MIZORAM,NAGALAND,BIHAR,UTTAR PRADESH,HARYANA,JHARKHAND,ODISHA AND WEST BENGAL are predicted for likely occurrence of African Swine Fever in September-2025

ANDHRA PRADESH,TRIPURA,BIHAR,JHARKHAND,MADHYA PRADESH,MAHARASHTRA,HIMACHAL PRADESH,UTTARAKHAND,GUJARAT AND PUDUCHERRY are predicted for likely occurrence of S & G Pox in September-2025

JHARKHAND,KARNATAKA,ODISHA,GOA,KERALA,GUJARAT,RAJASTHAN,SIKKIM,WEST BENGAL,BIHAR,UTTAR PRADESH AND MADHYA PRADESH are predicted for likely occurrence of Theileriosis in September-2025

JHARKHAND,ANDHRA PRADESH,KERALA,TRIPURA,WEST BENGAL,BIHAR,UTTAR PRADESH,MADHYA PRADESH,HIMACHAL PRADESH,UTTARAKHAND,GUJARAT,MAHARASHTRA,PUNJAB AND CHHATTISGARH are predicted for likely occurrence of Trypanosomiasis in September-2025

UTTARAKHAND,KARNATAKA,TAMIL NADU,ODISHA,KERALA,GUJARAT,BIHAR,CHHATTISGARH,MADHYA PRADESH,GOA,JHARKHAND AND UTTAR PRADESH are predicted for likely occurrence of Lumpy Skin Disease in September-2025

JAMMU & KASHMIR,GUJARAT,WEST BENGAL,UTTAR PRADESH,MADHYA PRADESH,GOA,JHARKHAND,ODISHA,PUNJAB,KERALA,RAJASTHAN AND MAHARASHTRA are predicted for likely occurrence of Avin Influenza in September-2025

Risk Prediction
September-2025

African Swine Fever - 107 Risk districts, 89.40% Accuracy.
Anthrax - 20 Risk districts, 99.31% Accuracy.
Avin Influenza - 76 Risk districts, 89.82% Accuracy.
Babesiosis - 79 Risk districts, 98.21% Accuracy.
Black Quarter - 43 Risk districts, 97.24% Accuracy.
Bluetongue - 4 Risk districts, 99.03% Accuracy.
Classical Swine Fever - 74 Risk districts, 94.36% Accuracy.
Enterotoxaemia - 50 Risk districts, 95.87% Accuracy.
Fasciolosis - 63 Risk districts, 95.59% Accuracy.
FMD - 95 Risk districts, 96.14% Accuracy.
HS - 66 Risk districts, 95.59% Accuracy.
LSD - 105 Risk districts, 92.29% Accuracy.
PPR - 71 Risk districts, 95.87% Accuracy.
S&G Pox - 56 Risk districts, 94.91% Accuracy.
Theileriosis - 90 Risk districts, 94.77% Accuracy.
Trypanosomiasis - 98 Risk districts, 93.81% Accuracy.

Auto Messaging

📢 Total of 32,65,593 SMS alerts on disease forecasts have been issued to farmers through FRUITS, NIC, Govt of Karnataka, for the month of July-2025.

📩 ನೆರಡಿ ರೋಗ - 3,45,680 SMS alerts sent.
Affected districts: ಬಾಗಲಕೋಟೆ, ಬಳ್ಳಾರಿ, ಚಿಕ್ಕಬಳ್ಳಾಪುರ, ಚಿತ್ರದುರ್ಗ, ದಾವಣಗೆರೆ, ಹಾವೇರಿ, ಕೊಪ್ಪಳ, ರಾಯಚೂರು, ತುಮಕೂರು ಮತ್ತು ವಿಜಯಪುರ More Info
📩 ಬೇಬಿಸಿಯಾ ರೋಗ - 1,54,502 SMS alerts sent.
Affected districts: ಬಾಗಲಕೋಟೆ, ಬಳ್ಳಾರಿ ಮತ್ತು ತುಮಕೂರು. More Info
📩 ಚಪ್ಪೆ ರೋಗ - 4,56,040 SMS alerts sent.
Affected districts: ಚಿಕ್ಕಬಳ್ಳಾಪುರ, ಚಿಕ್ಕಮಗಳೂರು, ಚಿತ್ರದುರ್ಗ, ದಾವಣಗೆರೆ, ಗದಗ, ಹಾಸನ, ಮೈಸೂರು ಮತ್ತು ಶಿವಮೊಗ್ಗ. More Info
📩 ಫೆಸಿಯೋಲಾ ರೋಗ - 4,26,341 alerts sent.
Affected districts: ಚಿಕ್ಕಮಗಳೂರು, ಚಿತ್ರದುರ್ಗ, ದಾವಣಗೆರೆ, ಹಾಸನ, ಕೋಲಾರ, ಮೈಸೂರು ಮತ್ತು ಶಿವಮೊಗ್ಗ. More Info
📩 ಕಾಲು ಬಾಯಿ ರೋಗ - 11,60,096 SMS alerts sent.
Affected districts: ಬೆಂಗಳೂರು ನಗರ, ಬೆಂಗಳೂರು ಗ್ರಾಮಾಂತರ, ಬೆಳಗಾವಿ, ಬಳ್ಳಾರಿ, ಚಾಮರಾಜನಗರ, ಚಿಕ್ಕಬಳ್ಳಾಪುರ, ಚಿಕ್ಕಮಗಳೂರು, ಚಿತ್ರದುರ್ಗ, ದಕ್ಷಿಣ ಕನ್ನಡ, ದಾವಣಗೆರೆ, ಗದಗ, ಹಾಸನ, ಹಾವೇರಿ, ಕೊಡಗು, ಕೋಲಾರ, ಕೊಪ್ಪಳ, ಮಂಡ್ಯ, ಮೈಸೂರು, ರಾಮನಗರ, ಶಿವಮೊಗ್ಗ, ತುಮಕೂರು ಮತ್ತು ಉಡುಪಿ. More Info
📩 ಗಂಟಲು ಬೇನೆ - 5,01,314 SMS alerts sent.
Affected districts: ಬೆಂಗಳೂರು ನಗರ, ಬೆಳಗಾವಿ, ದಾವಣಗೆರೆ, ಧಾರವಾಡ, ಮೈಸೂರು, ರಾಮನಗರ ಮತ್ತು ತುಮಕೂರು. More Info
📩 ಚರ್ಮ ಗಂಟು ರೋಗ - 1,73,332 SMS alerts sent.
Affected districts: ಬಾಗಲಕೋಟೆ, ಬೆಳಗಾವಿ, ಧಾರವಾಡ, ಗುಲ್ಬರ್ಗ, ಹಾವೇರಿ ಮತ್ತು ವಿಜಯಪುರ. More Info
📩 ಥೈಲೇರಿಯಾ ರೋಗ - 29,144 SMS alerts sent.
Affected districts: ಗದಗ ಮತ್ತು ಗುಲ್ಬರ್ಗ. More Info
📩 ತ್ರಿಪನೋಸೋಮಾ ರೋಗ - 29,144 SMS alerts sent.
Affected districts: ಗದಗ ಮತ್ತು ಗುಲ್ಬರ್ಗ. More Info

DLT SMS Alerts for Veterinarian's

DLT SMS Sent Report May 2025 (Predicted July 2025) District Wise:

Risk predicted for Andhra Pradesh districts; 4,823 SMS sent.
Risk predicted for Haryana districts; 3,725 SMS sent.
Risk predicted for Himachal Pradesh districts; 959 SMS sent.
Risk predicted for Karnataka districts; 2,006 SMS sent.
Risk predicted for Kerala districts; 2,698 SMS sent.
Risk predicted for Manipur districts; 96 SMS sent.
Risk predicted for Nagaland districts; 59 SMS sent.
Risk predicted for Odisha districts; 1,328 SMS sent.
Risk predicted for Puducherry districts; 32 SMS sent.
Risk predicted for Punjab districts; 43 SMS sent.
Risk predicted for Sikkim districts; 47 SMS sent.
Risk predicted for Tamil Nadu districts; 52 SMS sent.
Risk predicted for Tripura districts; 178 SMS sent.
Risk predicted for West Bengal districts; 1,919 SMS sent.

Resources

1. PPT/PDF 2. Disease Videos 3. Articles

Periodic Regression

Methodology of Periodic Regression

Dynamic RandomWalk model

Periodic Regression

Dynamic RandomWalk model

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